Wednesday, January 14, 2026

HR Strategy 2026

 The post highlights TCS's Q3 FY26 workforce reduction of 11,151 employees, totaling over 30,000 cuts in six months, driven by cost pressures, profit declines, and AI-enabled restructuring, with voluntary attrition at 13.5% signaling internal dissatisfaction.

Management's conference call language about "releasing" mid- and senior-level staff unable to adapt post-reskilling underscores ongoing redundancies, aligning with sector-wide shifts where AI compresses team sizes and prioritizes skilled roles over junior-heavy models.


This trend risks amplifying India's graduate unemployment, with IT's historical absorption of millions now shrinking; TCS stock's 25% yearly drop reflects investor concerns over sustained growth in a productivity-led era.


TCS continued its multi-quarter workforce optimization, driven by AI-enabled efficiencies, cost pressures, and a shift toward higher-skilled roles. The company did not disclose exact quarterly exit breakdowns in official documents, but combined official data and management commentary provide the following insights:


Total Headcount: 582,163 at quarter-end (down 11,151 or 1.9% from 593,314 at the end of Q2 FY26).


This marks a cumulative decline of over 25,800 employees in FY26 so far (April-December 2025), and approximately 31,000 from June to December 2025.
 

Voluntary Exits: Official disclosures report voluntary attrition at 13.5% on an LTM basis for IT services (unchanged from prior quarters).


This rate represents voluntary exits over the past 12 months divided by average headcount. Using an approximate average headcount of ~588,000 for Q3 (midpoint between Q2 and Q3 totals), the quarterly voluntary attrition rate is estimated at ~3.375% (13.5% / 4), implying around 19,845 voluntary exits in Q3 alone. However, this is an estimate; exact quarterly voluntary exits are not disclosed. Unions have alleged that some "voluntary" exits are coerced through benching, performance manipulation, or pressure, potentially inflating this figure.
 

Involuntary Exits: Approximately 1,800 employees were involuntarily released in Q3 as part of ongoing restructuring.

This aligns with TCS's broader plan to reduce ~2% of its global workforce (approximately 12,000 roles) in FY26, primarily targeting mid- and senior-level positions unable to adapt post-reskilling.

Chief HR Officer Sudeep Kunnumal stated, "The company continues with the restructuring exercise and will continue this exercise until the end of this year."

These exits are linked to AI-driven role rationalization, with reports indicating impacts on 10-20 year veterans and specific locations like Pune (376 affected).
 

Total Exits and Net Decline: Combining voluntary (estimated ~19,845) and involuntary (1,800) yields approximate total exits of ~21,645 in Q3. With a net headcount decline of 11,151, this implies gross hiring of ~10,494 during the quarter (exits - decline = hires). This hiring focused on freshers with "higher order skills," as TCS doubled its fresher intake QoQ to build an AI-ready talent pool.


HR Strategy 2026


Short Term -

This checklist focuses on quick wins to stabilize operations amid restructuring and external pressures like visa fees.

  • Conduct a comprehensive workforce audit: Map current headcount against AI-driven role requirements, identifying redundancies in mid/senior levels and skill gaps in junior roles.
  • Review attrition data: Analyze voluntary exits (e.g., 13.5% LTM) by department and tenure to pinpoint dissatisfaction drivers like benching or performance pressures.
  • Accelerate AI reskilling programs: Target training for at least 20-30% of the workforce annually, focusing on practical AI applications to minimize involuntary exits.
  • Ramp up campus hiring: Finalize offers for 40,000+ freshers in FY26, prioritizing AI, data science, and digital skills through programs like off-campus drives.
  • Assess H-1B dependency: Calculate cost impact of $100,000 fees (e.g., potential $650M hit) and shift 10-20% of US roles to local hires or offshore models within the next quarter.
  • Enhance employee engagement surveys: Launch quarterly pulse checks to address internal dissatisfaction, aiming to reduce voluntary attrition by 2-3% through targeted retention initiatives.
  • Partner with unions/employee forums: Proactively discuss restructuring to mitigate allegations of coerced exits and build trust.
  • Optimize recruitment pipelines: Double fresher intake QoQ while integrating AI tools for efficient screening and onboarding.
  • Develop contingency plans for visa changes: Identify alternative talent pools in nearshore locations (e.g., Mexico, Canada) to offset US margin erosion (100 bps potential hit).
  • Monitor financial integration: Collaborate with finance to track restructuring expenses and ensure they support margin stability (e.g., 25.2% operating margin).


Long Term

  • This checklist draws directly from industry trends, emphasizing AI integration, cost efficiency, and talent agility to drive profitability and growth.
  • Embed AI in talent acquisition: Use AI-powered tools for predictive hiring, focusing on "higher-order skills" to build an AI-ready workforce from campus recruits.
  • Prioritize continuous reskilling: Aim to upskill 100,000+ employees yearly in AI and emerging tech, with clear pathways for adaptation to avoid mass involuntary exits (e.g., ~1,800 per quarter).
  • Foster a culture of internal mobility: Reduce voluntary attrition by promoting cross-functional moves and reskilling non-adapters, treating "release" as a last resort.
  • Localize global operations: Increase local hiring in key markets like the US (target 70% citizens/residents by FY27) to mitigate H-1B fee impacts and enhance client trust.
  • Balance offshore-onsite models: Shift routine tasks offshore to cut costs (20-30% savings) while maintaining high-margin AI deals onsite.
  • Implement data-driven attrition management: Track metrics like min_retweets or engagement in internal forums to preempt exits, aiming for below 12% LTM attrition.
  • Diversify talent pipelines: Expand beyond India with hires in Europe/UK (e.g., 5,000 over three years) and nearshore centers to buffer against visa policy risks.
  • Integrate HR with business strategy: Align reskilling with revenue goals (e.g., $1.8B AI services) to ensure talent supports productivity-led growth.
  • Promote ethical restructuring: Transparently communicate layoffs, offering severance and outplacement to maintain morale and brand reputation amid unemployment risks.
  • Leverage analytics for profitability: Model visa fee scenarios (e.g., 50-150 bps margin hit per employee) and adjust contracts to pass through costs, ensuring EPS stability.


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